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Likud seeks investigations into alleged election fraud; Segal expects Netanyahu to seek unity partners

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Workers move wheeled cages stacked with blue ballot boxes outside the Knesset at night.
Ballot boxes carrying double-envelope votes are transported to the Knesset during Israel’s 2026 election process. Photo: Lidor Sultan, via Israel Hayom.

Elections Committee reviews Likud’s complaint

Likud alleged that the elections were “stolen” by Arab parties, which it accused of supporting terrorism and the destruction of the Jewish state. The party said it is submitting hundreds of testimonies and pieces of evidence to police, the Israel Security Agency (Shin Bet) and the Central Elections Committee concerning alleged offenses at numerous polling stations in Arab communities.

The allegations include thousands of envelopes containing cash and Ra’am ballots, threats and violence against polling officials, multiple voters entering booths together, voting under duplicate identities, discrepancies between ballot-envelope and voter totals, and prohibited voter-mobilization software.

Likud demanded immediate investigations, prosecution of those responsible and committee action, alleging that the offenses compromised election integrity, the results and citizens’ voting rights. These remain allegations.

The Elections Committee responded:

“We have received Likud’s request. It is currently under review.”

Double-envelope ballot estimate corrected

The Central Elections Committee now estimates 430,000–480,000 double-envelope ballots, including soldiers’ votes, correcting its earlier estimate of approximately 600,000.

These remain outstanding, alongside additional ballots undergoing verification, and could change individual seat allocations. Likud has received more than one million votes.

Count compared with final pre-election surveys

Likud’s provisional 26 seats exceed Channel 12’s final pre-election projection of 21 but fall below Channel 14’s 30. Likud leads Eisenkot by five seats and Bennett by 14, compared with Channel 12’s final projected Likud–Bennett gap of six.

Eisenkot’s 21 seats are slightly below several final surveys projecting 22–23. Bennett’s 12 also fall below some late polling expectations. The Arab parties’ combined 19 exceed the approximately 14–16 projected in several final surveys.

Majority options face political obstacles

The non-Arab opposition’s 48 seats plus Ra’am’s seven total 55, six short of a majority. This narrows its options compared with the final Channel 12 and News 13 polls, which projected possible 61-seat combinations involving Ra’am without the Joint List.

Adding both Arab parties would bring the non-Arab opposition to 67 seats. That arithmetic does not establish a viable coalition: JTA reported that Bennett and other opposition leaders had opposed forming a government with either Arab party.

JTA’s analysis described the Arab parties as holding potentially decisive parliamentary influence without guaranteed participation in a governing arrangement.

Segal’s assessment of unity-government prospects

Channel 12 political commentator Amit Segal assessed that Netanyahu would first consolidate his own bloc, then seek unity-government partners from the opposing bloc, according to a report by Arutz Sheva. This is Segal’s assessment.

Responding to journalists, the office of United Torah Judaism Chairman MK Yaakov Asher said no approaches had been made by party leaders, except for a message from sources close to Netanyahu saying he intends to keep the coalition parties together.

President Trump said:

“I’ll see if there’s a way I can help form a unity government in Israel.”

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