Three networks project the same bloc totals
Updated exit polls from Channels 12, 13 and 11 project 50 seats for Netanyahu’s bloc, 52 for the Jewish opposition and 18 for Arab-led parties. Neither Netanyahu’s bloc nor the Jewish opposition reaches the 61 seats needed for a Knesset majority.
Likud remains the largest party in these projections, but the path to forming a government remains unresolved.
Channel 12 projects Likud at 24 seats, Yashar at 22, Bennett at 12, the Joint List at 11, the Democrats and Yisrael Beiteinu at nine each, Shas at eight, Ra’am at seven, and United Torah Judaism, Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionism at six each. Winter and Zelekha were reported below the electoral threshold.
Channel 13 and “The Index” initially projected 53 seats for the opposition bloc, 50 for the coalition bloc and 17 for Arab parties. Their update raised the Joint List from 10 to 11 seats and lowered Bennett’s Beyachad from 14 to 13, producing the same 52–50–18 split as Channel 12.
Their other initial figures were Likud at 25, Yashar at 23, the Democrats at nine, Yisrael Beiteinu, Ra’am and United Torah Judaism at seven each, and Shas, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism and Zehut at six each. Winter, Yaron Zelekha and Leitner were below the threshold.
Channel 11 also reportedly revised Bennett to 13 and the Joint List to 11, yielding the same bloc totals.
Separate projections differ
An i24 poll by Tzuriel Sharon put Likud at 27 seats, Yashar at 20, Beyachad at 15, Golan and the Joint List at nine each, Shas at eight, United Torah Judaism, Ra’am and Otzma Yehudit at seven each, Religious Zionism at six and Yisrael Beiteinu at five.
In a separate update on his Telegram channel, Amit Segal reported that the Democrats rose to 10 seats in Channel 12’s exit poll, at the expense of Lieberman’s party, which fell to eight.
Reported turnout highest since 1999
Final voter turnout was reported at 77.7%, up 7.1 percentage points from 2022. Arab-sector turnout was reported at 80%.
According to the military, turnout among IDF soldiers stood at 68% at 5 p.m., compared with 65% at the same hour in 2022.
Projections remain unconfirmed
These figures are reported projections, not official election results. The numerical exit-poll results had not been independently confirmed as of approximately 10:02 p.m. Israel time on October 27.
The subsequent figures update that earlier snapshot, but their final accuracy, electoral-threshold outcomes and implications for forming a government remain unresolved.
